BUSH APPROVAL INDEX:					24.25			UPDATED	REPORTING PERIOD ENDS
			DISAPPROVAL:			73.14	highest ever		7-Nov-08	1-Nov-08
			SPREAD:			(48.89)	widest ever
			APPROVAL				APPROVAL-DISAPPROVAL SPREAD
reporting	combined	#	index	change	95% confidence		index	change	95% confidence
period	sample	polls			lower	upper			lower	upper
ends	size
1-Nov-08	11,537	10	24.2	0.11	23.08	25.42	(48.9)	(0.75)	(51.15)	(46.63)
15-Oct-08	11,737	11	24.1	(1.02)	22.69	25.59	(48.1)	(1.83)	(51.15)	(45.12)
30-Sep-08	10,712	10	25.2	(4.53)	23.41	26.92	(46.3)	(7.64)	(49.67)	(42.94)
15-Sep-08	4,811	5	29.7	0.53	27.27	32.12	(38.7)	0.28	(43.69)	(33.64)
1-Sep-08	8,706	8	29.2	0.85	27.54	30.80	(38.9)	1.03	(42.32)	(35.57)
15-Aug-08	6,559	6	28.3	1.13	26.54	30.10	(40.0)	3.60	(43.76)	(36.18)
1-Aug-08	6,554	6	27.2	(0.54)	25.32	29.07	(43.6)	(3.46)	(47.20)	(39.94)
15-Jul-08	7,865	6	27.7	0.57	26.47	29.00	(40.1)	2.81	(43.04)	(37.17)
1-Jul-08	6,778	6	27.2	0.36	26.13	28.21	(42.9)	(0.42)	(45.01)	(40.82)
15-Jun-08	7,021	7	26.8	(0.93)	25.50	28.11	(42.5)	0.71	(45.35)	(39.63)
1-Jun-08	2,100	2	27.7	(0.23)	21.88	33.61	(43.2)	(2.52)	(52.47)	(33.93)
15-May-08	4,586	4	28.0	0.81	26.63	29.30	(40.7)	2.12	(42.98)	(38.39)
1-May-08	8,559	8	27.2	(1.14)	25.81	28.51	(42.8)	(3.39)	(45.63)	(39.97)
15-Apr-08	6,609	6	28.3	(0.34)	26.94	29.66	(39.4)	0.75	(41.92)	(36.90)
1-Apr-08	6,614	6	28.6	(0.77)	27.57	29.71	(40.2)	(2.54)	(43.80)	(36.53)
15-Mar-08	5,515	5	29.4	(0.96)	28.01	30.81	(37.6)	(1.75)	(41.19)	(34.07)
1-Mar-08	7,529	6	30.4	0.02	26.93	33.80	(35.9)	(0.23)	(43.29)	(28.48)
15-Feb-08	12,585	11	30.3	(2.13)	29.42	31.28	(35.6)	(3.90)	(37.68)	(33.61)
1-Feb-08	4,393	4	32.5	1.13	29.66	35.29	(31.7)	1.41	(37.83)	(25.67)
15-Jan-08	8,868	7	31.3	(1.01)	30.16	32.52	(33.2)	(0.57)	(35.80)	(30.53)
1-Jan-08	6,619	6	32.4	0.30	30.89	33.82	(32.6)	0.12	(34.93)	(30.26)
15-Dec-07	8,313	8	32.1	1.13	30.23	33.88	(32.7)	1.13	(36.66)	(28.77)
1-Dec-07	3,507	3	30.9	0.01	28.34	33.51	(33.8)	0.71	(37.70)	(29.98)
15-Nov-07	7,603	7	30.9	(0.88)	29.66	32.16	(34.6)	(1.96)	(36.74)	(32.37)
1-Nov-07	6,318	5	31.8	1.64	28.85	34.72	(32.6)	3.89	(38.22)	(26.98)
15-Oct-07	6,918	7	30.1	(2.09)	27.99	32.30	(36.5)	(4.16)	(40.96)	(32.01)
1-Oct-07	7,342	7	32.2	0.06	30.40	34.06	(32.3)	0.25	(35.78)	(28.87)
15-Sep-07	7,982	8	32.2	1.13	30.98	33.37	(32.6)	0.55	(34.55)	(30.59)
1-Sep-07	6,021	4	31.0	(0.68)	30.15	31.94	(33.1)	0.26	(35.18)	(31.07)
15-Aug-07	7,822	7	31.7	2.02	29.96	33.49	(33.4)	4.03	(36.78)	(29.99)
1-Aug-07	8,076	7	29.7	0.03	28.87	30.55	(37.4)	(0.37)	(39.66)	(35.16)
15-Jul-07	7,038	7	29.7	1.00	27.05	32.30	(37.0)	2.00	(41.73)	(32.35)
1-Jul-07	4,866	5	28.7	(1.50)	27.41	29.95	(39.0)	(3.11)	(40.93)	(37.16)
15-Jun-07	9,341	8	30.2	(2.64)	28.95	31.40	(35.9)	(4.72)	(38.33)	(33.54)
1-Jun-07	4,125	4	32.8	(0.27)	31.07	34.56	(31.2)	0.38	(34.47)	(27.96)
15-May-07	6,207	6	33.1	(0.83)	30.74	35.44	(31.6)	(2.30)	(36.75)	(26.43)
1-May-07	6,557	6	33.9	0.31	31.72	36.13	(29.3)	(0.88)	(33.50)	(25.08)
15-Apr-07	6,431	6	33.6	1.04	32.34	34.89	(28.4)	2.80	(30.96)	(25.85)
1-Apr-07	8,779	8	32.6	(0.80)	31.55	33.60	(31.2)	(2.01)	(33.71)	(28.70)
15-Mar-07	11,402	10	33.4	(0.77)	32.20	34.56	(29.2)	(1.31)	(31.40)	(27.00)
1-Mar-07	8,121	7	34.1	1.35	31.48	36.82	(27.9)	2.53	(32.54)	(23.23)
15-Feb-07	7,568	7	32.8	(0.57)	31.66	33.93	(30.4)	0.11	(33.36)	(27.48)
1-Feb-07	13,176	13	33.4	0.62	31.81	34.91	(30.5)	1.08	(33.60)	(27.47)
15-Jan-07	6,595	6	32.7	(2.98)	31.60	33.88	(31.6)	(4.61)	(33.98)	(29.25)
1-Jan-07	2,119	2	35.7	2.54	31.86	39.57	(27.0)	2.75	(33.80)	(20.20)
15-Dec-06	10,533	10	33.2	(0.94)	32.30	34.06	(29.7)	(0.90)	(31.79)	(27.71)
1-Dec-06	10,268	9	34.1	(3.43)	32.55	35.69	(28.8)	(7.49)	(31.83)	(25.87)
15-Nov-06	9,777	7	37.6	0.87	34.52	40.58	(21.4)	1.79	(25.62)	(17.08)
1-Nov-06	17,337	15	36.7	0.46	35.78	37.58	(23.1)	1.04	(24.84)	(21.44)
15-Oct-06	15,352	15	36.2	(4.41)	35.29	37.14	(24.2)	(7.86)	(25.98)	(22.37)
1-Oct-06	6,143	6	40.6	1.84	38.92	42.33	(16.3)	2.60	(20.03)	(12.59)
15-Sep-06	10,978	10	38.8	0.94	37.97	39.59	(18.9)	2.16	(20.44)	(17.37)
1-Sep-06	9,324	9	37.8	1.71	36.61	39.08	(21.1)	2.86	(23.75)	(18.39)
15-Aug-06	11,468	11	36.1	(0.66)	35.03	37.24	(23.9)	(1.07)	(25.68)	(22.19)
1-Aug-06	9,255	8	36.8	1.02	35.94	37.65	(22.9)	1.97	(24.68)	(21.04)
15-Jul-06	3,909	4	35.8	(0.95)	34.09	37.45	(24.8)	(2.14)	(28.48)	(21.18)
1-Jul-06	7,553	7	36.7	1.82	35.45	38.00	(22.7)	3.02	(25.43)	(19.96)
15-Jun-06	8,614	9	34.9	0.41	33.75	36.06	(25.7)	1.28	(28.41)	(23.02)
1-Jun-06	6,149	6	34.5	2.55	33.49	35.51	(27.0)	5.39	(29.13)	(24.86)
15-May-06	10,295	10	31.9	(1.67)	30.46	33.43	(32.4)	(4.34)	(35.53)	(29.25)
1-May-06	7,248	7	33.6	(1.78)	31.64	35.60	(28.0)	(2.35)	(31.57)	(24.52)
15-Apr-06	6,846	7	35.4	(2.09)	34.45	36.36	(25.7)	(4.52)	(27.48)	(23.91)
1-Apr-06	5,127	5	37.5	1.23	35.84	39.16	(21.2)	3.11	(24.97)	(17.38)
15-Mar-06	11,372	11	36.3	(2.19)	35.05	37.49	(24.3)	(4.00)	(26.40)	(22.18)
1-Mar-06	6,050	5	38.5	(1.61)	35.95	40.96	(20.3)	(3.83)	(25.77)	(14.81)
15-Feb-06	6,406	6	40.1	0.15	38.76	41.38	(16.5)	0.35	(19.05)	(13.86)
1-Feb-06	7,247	7	39.9	(0.97)	38.72	41.11	(16.8)	(1.43)	(19.16)	(14.47)
15-Jan-06	9,594	9	40.9	(0.82)	39.69	42.09	(15.4)	(0.85)	(17.94)	(12.83)
1-Jan-06	4,110	4	41.7	1.68	39.51	43.90	(14.5)	2.27	(18.51)	(10.55)
15-Dec-05	10,817	10	40.0	1.79	39.18	40.88	(16.8)	2.63	(18.67)	(14.93)
1-Dec-05	3,002	3	38.2	1.83	35.82	40.65	(19.4)	4.65	(24.61)	(14.26)
15-Nov-05	11,121	11	36.4	(3.67)	35.46	37.35	(24.1)	(7.05)	(25.89)	(22.26)
1-Nov-05	9,231	9	40.1	0.65	38.26	41.90	(17.0)	1.56	(20.72)	(13.33)
15-Oct-05	6,019	6	39.4	(1.36)	37.34	41.52	(18.6)	(3.17)	(23.12)	(14.06)
1-Oct-05	5,829	6	40.8	0.21	39.20	42.39	(15.4)	0.53	(19.15)	(11.70)
15-Sep-05	12,702	12	40.6	(0.39)	39.63	41.55	(15.9)	(0.81)	(18.15)	(13.75)
1-Sep-05	7,105	7	41.0	(2.22)	39.37	42.60	(15.1)	(5.19)	(18.02)	(12.25)
15-Aug-05	5,231	5	43.2	(1.24)	42.09	44.31	(9.9)	(1.83)	(13.17)	(6.73)
1-Aug-05	6,580	6	44.4	(0.92)	42.76	46.12	(8.1)	(0.86)	(11.11)	(5.13)
15-Jul-05	4,879	5	45.4	0.78	43.37	47.35	(7.3)	1.49	(11.26)	(3.25)
1-Jul-05	6,907	7	44.6	0.53	43.79	45.37	(8.7)	0.29	(10.57)	(6.91)
15-Jun-05	7,481	7	44.1	(1.76)	42.70	45.40	(9.0)	(3.95)	(11.61)	(6.46)
1-Jun-05	7,375	7	45.8	(0.05)	44.80	46.83	(5.1)	(0.13)	(7.18)	(3.00)
15-May-05	5,524	5	45.9	0.09	44.09	47.63	(5.0)	0.46	(9.67)	(0.24)
1-May-05	6,170	6	45.8	(0.16)	44.68	46.85	(5.4)	(0.42)	(8.03)	(2.80)
15-Apr-05	5,063	5	45.9	(1.31)	44.43	47.42	(5.0)	(3.26)	(8.82)	(1.17)
1-Apr-05	9,182	9	47.2	(0.53)	45.13	49.34	(1.7)	(0.85)	(5.83)	2.36
15-Mar-05	6,006	6	47.8	(0.74)	46.13	49.40	(0.9)	(0.58)	(3.99)	2.22
1-Mar-05	5,552	5	48.5	(1.06)	46.81	50.21	(0.3)	(1.95)	(4.29)	3.67
15-Feb-05	8,047	8	49.6	0.29	47.40	51.73	1.6	(0.33)	(3.04)	6.31
1-Feb-05	9,447	9	49.3	(1.19)	47.98	50.58	2.0	(1.65)	(0.26)	4.20
15-Jan-05	6,419	6	50.5	1.78	49.40	51.54	3.6	3.32	0.98	6.26
1-Jan-05	6,106	5	48.7	(0.42)	46.56	50.82	0.3	(1.34)	(3.41)	4.01
15-Dec-04	8,492	8	49.1	(3.23)	47.88	50.34	1.6	(5.37)	(1.29)	4.57
1-Dec-04	5,067	5	52.3	1.79	51.24	53.43	7.0	3.29	4.34	9.69
15-Nov-04	3,861	4	50.5	2.66	49.81	51.28	3.7	5.59	2.59	4.85
1-Nov-04	16,245	15	47.9	1.18	46.94	48.82	(1.9)	1.73	(3.76)	0.02
15-Oct-04	14,849	14	46.7	(3.04)	45.40	48.00	(3.6)	(6.81)	(5.82)	(1.38)
1-Oct-04	8,569	8	49.7	0.31	47.86	51.61	3.2	0.96	(0.24)	6.65
15-Sep-04	15,384	14	49.4	1.90	48.23	50.62	2.2	4.17	0.08	4.42
1-Sep-04	6,226	6	47.5	1.19	46.47	48.58	(1.9)	2.76	(3.74)	(0.11)
15-Aug-04	10,528	10	46.3	0.08	44.97	47.70	(4.7)	(0.44)	(7.23)	(2.14)
1-Aug-04	11,682	10	46.3	(1.10)	45.64	46.86	(4.2)	(1.65)	(5.78)	(2.70)
15-Jul-04	6,985	7	47.3	2.58	45.49	49.21	(2.6)	5.27	(6.01)	0.83
1-Jul-04	5,184	5	44.8	(2.97)	42.99	46.55	(7.9)	(5.85)	(11.00)	(4.70)
15-Jun-04	8,598	8	47.7	3.51	46.60	48.87	(2.0)	6.05	(4.61)	0.61
1-Jun-04	4,027	4	44.2	(1.56)	42.28	46.17	(8.0)	(2.25)	(12.29)	(3.80)
15-May-04	11,199	12	45.8	(2.51)	44.58	46.99	(5.8)	(4.98)	(8.56)	(3.04)
1-May-04	7,295	7	48.3	0.42	47.31	49.28	(0.8)	0.95	(2.74)	1.10
15-Apr-04	9,681	10	47.9	(0.16)	46.50	49.25	(1.8)	(1.00)	(4.34)	0.81
1-Apr-04	8,001	8	48.0	(0.08)	46.74	49.31	(0.8)	0.26	(3.13)	1.60
15-Mar-04	7,831	8	48.1	(0.67)	46.92	49.29	(1.0)	(2.27)	(3.56)	1.51
1-Mar-04	7,551	7	48.8	(0.66)	47.58	49.96	1.2	(0.15)	(0.66)	3.15
15-Feb-04	9,809	10	49.4	(1.75)	48.20	50.65	1.4	(3.83)	(0.86)	3.65
1-Feb-04	6,001	6	51.2	(3.58)	49.42	52.93	5.2	(7.00)	1.78	8.66
15-Jan-04	12,136	13	54.8	(3.36)	53.12	56.39	12.2	(6.96)	8.47	15.97
1-Jan-04	7,214	8	58.1	5.63	56.18	60.06	19.2	9.87	15.66	22.69
15-Dec-03	10,665	13	52.5	1.16	51.17	53.82	9.3	3.47	6.70	11.91
1-Dec-03	6,326	6	51.3	0.73	49.63	53.03	5.8	1.37	1.65	10.02
15-Nov-03	7,879	8	50.6	(1.86)	49.57	51.63	4.5	(3.39)	2.44	6.49
1-Nov-03	10,166	10	52.5	1.01	50.56	54.37	7.9	1.17	4.06	11.66
15-Oct-03	7,598	8	51.5	0.11	50.38	52.54	6.7	0.58	4.90	8.48
1-Oct-03	10,493	11	51.4	(0.70)	49.49	53.21	6.1	(1.97)	2.29	9.94
15-Sep-03	8,665	9	52.1	(3.56)	50.08	54.03	8.1	(7.35)	4.15	12.02
1-Sep-03	5,765	6	55.6	(0.50)	54.18	57.05	15.4	(2.07)	12.59	18.29
15-Aug-03	7,499	8	56.1	0.64	54.96	57.26	17.5	3.38	15.95	19.07
1-Aug-03	11,674	10	55.5	(3.45)	54.25	56.69	14.1	(7.85)	10.69	17.58
15-Jul-03	9,648	10	58.9	(2.65)	57.73	60.11	22.0	(4.64)	19.38	24.60
1-Jul-03	3,694	4	61.6	(0.54)	58.13	65.01	26.6	(1.37)	18.92	34.34
15-Jun-03	9,602	10	62.1	(0.17)	60.75	63.46	28.0	(0.50)	25.24	30.77
1-Jun-03	6,229	6	62.3	(3.93)	61.00	63.55	28.5	(7.39)	25.56	31.45
15-May-03	7,796	8	66.2	(1.83)	64.22	68.18	35.9	(3.21)	31.72	40.08
1-May-03	6,536	8	68.0	(0.96)	65.86	70.21	39.1	(1.95)	35.84	42.38
15-Apr-03	14,280	17	69.0	5.13	67.03	70.96	41.1	10.08	35.95	46.17
1-Apr-03	16,788	20	63.9	7.85	61.37	66.37	31.0	14.91	26.25	35.71
15-Mar-03	10,622	11	56.0	0.80	54.67	57.37	16.1	0.56	13.57	18.56
1-Mar-03	9,910	10	55.2	(4.34)	54.03	56.40	15.5	(7.85)	13.16	17.86
15-Feb-03	12,860	14	59.6	3.07	58.04	61.07	23.4	5.81	20.32	26.41
1-Feb-03	12,191	12	56.5	(4.40)	55.26	57.72	17.6	(8.33)	15.18	19.93
15-Jan-03	7,709	8	60.9	0.68	58.57	63.20	25.9	(0.54)	21.43	30.34
1-Jan-03	5,814	6	60.2	(2.64)	57.36	63.06	26.4	(3.78)	21.83	31.02
15-Dec-02	6,808	7	62.9	(1.39)	61.54	64.16	30.2	(4.70)	27.89	32.51
1-Dec-02	5,814	6	64.2	1.08	62.30	66.18	34.9	3.02	32.69	37.11
15-Nov-02	8,082	8	63.2	1.21	61.79	64.53	31.9	3.39	29.48	34.28
1-Nov-02	16,329	15	62.0	(0.73)	60.67	63.23	28.5	(2.02)	26.16	30.82
15-Oct-02	7,229	7	62.7	(2.18)	61.17	64.20	30.5	(3.19)	27.29	33.73
1-Oct-02	10,635	11	64.9	0.01	62.94	66.80	33.7	(0.39)	29.73	37.66
15-Sep-02	10,550	11	64.9	2.39	63.17	66.54	34.1	3.95	31.20	36.97
1-Sep-02	5,121	5	62.5	(2.98)	60.84	64.09	30.1	(5.45)	26.56	33.71
15-Aug-02	6,207	7	65.4	(0.78)	64.16	66.74	35.6	(1.71)	32.39	38.77
1-Aug-02	13,598	14	66.2	(3.31)	65.17	67.28	37.3	(6.47)	34.69	39.88
15-Jul-02	9,932	10	69.5	(1.78)	67.66	71.42	43.8	(4.84)	39.54	47.97
1-Jul-02	11,165	11	71.3	0.48	70.48	72.16	48.6	2.22	46.92	50.27
15-Jun-02	7,623	8	70.8	(2.68)	69.06	72.62	46.4	(5.30)	43.49	49.26
1-Jun-02	10,794	11	73.5	0.24	72.00	75.05	51.7	1.05	47.92	55.43
15-May-02	8,106	8	73.3	(1.36)	71.79	74.78	50.6	(2.90)	47.91	53.35
1-May-02	8,924	8	74.6	0.05	72.65	76.64	53.5	0.62	49.25	57.80
15-Apr-02	10,386	10	74.6	(1.28)	73.71	75.47	52.9	(2.75)	50.49	55.33
1-Apr-02	7,054	7	75.9	(0.33)	74.93	76.83	55.7	20.26	53.73	57.59
15-Mar-02	7,724	8	76.2	0.62	74.92	77.49	35.4	(1.89)	31.75	39.05
1-Mar-02	5,883	6	75.6	(5.75)	70.52	80.65	37.3	5.66	33.61	40.97
15-Feb-02	2,821	3	81.3	1.72	78.75	83.91	31.6	(6.08)	27.79	35.46
1-Feb-02	12,423	12	79.6	(1.68)	78.28	80.94	37.7	(2.16)	34.32	41.09
15-Jan-02	7,161	8	81.3	(1.34)	79.62	82.96	39.9	(4.44)	35.19	44.55
1-Jan-02	5,885	6	82.6	(0.41)	81.75	83.52	44.3	(6.85)	41.32	47.30
15-Dec-01	9,684	10	83.0	(2.24)	81.33	84.76	51.2	2.36	48.48	53.85
1-Dec-01	10,297	10	85.3	0.00	83.66	86.93	48.8	(4.08)	44.57	53.06
15-Nov-01	11,146	12	85.3	0.12	84.11	86.47	52.9	(0.37)	49.27	56.52
1-Nov-01	11,052	11	85.2	(0.67)	82.86	87.47	53.3	(1.58)	48.91	57.61
15-Oct-01	10,766	12	85.8	2.38	83.72	87.95	54.8	54.84	52.10	57.57
1-Oct-01	21,665	21	83.5		81.70	85.21	54.8	54.84	52.10	57.57
10-Sep-01	3,949	4	52.1	(1.63)	50.12	54.06
1-Sep-01	4,786	5	53.7	0.27	51.75	55.70
15-Aug-01	2,966	3	53.4	1.15	50.60	56.30
1-Aug-01	8,899	9	52.3	0.40	49.73	54.87
15-Jul-01	3,915	4	51.9	(1.77)	49.85	53.94
1-Jul-01	5,684	6	53.7	(1.08)	51.59	55.74
15-Jun-01	3,851	4	54.7	(0.51)	51.25	58.25
1-Jun-01	4,343	4	55.3	(2.35)	52.32	58.20
15-May-01	7,956	8	57.6	2.54	54.96	60.26
1-May-01	7,162	7	55.1	1.74	52.56	57.59
15-Apr-01	3,634	4	53.3	(2.96)	50.55	56.13
1-Apr-01	6,872	7	56.3	0.60	53.80	58.80
15-Mar-01	8,025	7	55.7	1.45	53.03	58.37
1-Mar-01	7,033	7	54.2	54.25	50.64	57.86
The half-month average "approval" Index is the weighted average of all poll data collected that fortnight and reported on either http://www.pollingreport.com or on the web sites of the actual pollsters.  The Index is calibrated to the polls of Ipsos-Reid.  The data is weighted by sample size.  No functional relationship is assumed.
Copyright © 2001-2008 by Stuart Eugene Thiel
All Rights Reserved